Every sportsbook price has the house margin (“the vig”) baked in. Our bots strip the vig out of the sharpest market to estimate the true probability of each outcome, then compare that to what FanDuel and DraftKings are actually paying. When a book pays more than the true odds, that gap is your edge.
Sharp Money — finds positive expected value (+EV): a price at FanDuel or DraftKings that beats the vig-free fair line from Pinnacle (the sharpest book) or the multi-book consensus.
Arbitrage — when the two books’ prices cross far enough, you can back both sides and lock a profit no matter who wins.
We only surface bets where the math is genuinely in your favor. We drop edges above 15% (almost always a stale or mis-keyed line, not free money), require agreement from at least two comparison books, and ignore prices that merely look long but aren’t actually +EV. Fewer, realer bets — not a wall of noise.
Card color shows bet quality, not bet type — so the strongest plays pop. Quality blends the size of the edge with our confidence in it:
Strong big edge, high confidence Solid meaningful edge Lean small or lower-confidence Risk-free locked arbitrage
Confidence rises with more comparison books, agreement from Pinnacle’s sharp line, and a sane edge size. A 25% “edge” usually means a stale line, not free money — so the score tempers extreme numbers rather than trusting them.
The suggested number is confidence-weighted quarter-Kelly: it sizes each bet to your total bankroll and the size of the edge, then scales by confidence — full on High-confidence plays, about 60% on Medium, 35% on Low — and caps any single bet so nothing is over-exposed. It’s built to grow the bankroll while surviving the inevitable losing streaks.
It’s only a suggestion. On the slip, Jeff types in whatever he actually wants to bet — the AI number is pre-filled, and one tap snaps back to it.
These are research suggestions, not guarantees. Lines move fast, so re-scan before you place. You place every bet manually. Bet responsibly — 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.